By: Stache Staff

Slim, But Not Impossible: This Season Can Be Successful


While looking at the Mets’ moves this off-season, it’s hard to get really amped up about any of them. Here’s a round-up of what we’ve seen thus far.

Nov. 17, 2011 — Mets re-sign Valentino Pascucci and sign Vinny Rottino
Dec. 7, 2011 — Mets trade Angel Pagan to San Francisco for Ramon Ramirez and Andres Torres
Dec. 12, 2011 — Mets claim Jeremy Heffner off waivers from the Pittsburgh Pirates
Dec. 13, 2011 — Mets sign free agents Lucas May and Garret Olsen
Dec. 14, 2011 — Mets sign free agent Jon Rauch
Dec. 15, 2011 — Mets sign free agent Chuck James
Dec. 16, 2011 — Mets re-sign Mike Baxter and sign Jeff Stevens
Dec. 19, 2011 — Mets sign Frank Francisco
Dec. 22, 2011 — Mets sign Rob Johnson
Dec. 30, 2011 — Mets sign Corey Wimberly
Jan. 3, 2012 — Mets sign Omar Quintanilla
Jan 10, 2012 — Mets re-sign Miguel Batista and sign Sean Kazmar and Fernando Cabrera
Jan. 11, 2012 — Mets re-sign Scott Hairston, outright Daniel Herrera to Buffalo, Fernando Martinez claimed off waivers by Houston
Jan. 13, 2012 — Mets sign Ronny Cedeno

Now what does this all mean? In my estimation, the Mets made three substantial moves (as far as substantial moves by the Mets are concerned). Bringing in Rauch and Francisco was the right move, but it could prove to be risky. Francisco has been given the ball in the ninth inning before, and he has tendencies to melt down. Do we possibly have another Armando Benitez in the making? Remember, Armando had some good times before he eventually fell apart.

Cue Jon Rauch. The guy is as big as a giant, but he throws a lot softer than one would think. With a fastball that occasionally strikes 90, this guy is not going to blow people away, but he’s proven in the past that he is capable of being a solid set-up guy, which is something the Mets have been trying to find for several years.

One more underrated addition to the bullpen was Ramon Ramirez. This is a guy who could strike some people out. He was solid in San Francisco, and he will likely fill the seventh inning role, but he could be called upon if Rauch and Francisco struggle.

The addition of Andres Torres? I am not thrilled about it, but I don’t hate it either. He is an above average defender with good leadership abilities. A couple of years ago, he showed some pop, and he seems excited to prove he still has something in the tank. My money is on him starting the year as the Mets’ lead-off hitter as well.

What Needs to Go Right — The Mets need several things to fall into place to be contenders, especially with the Marlins adding Mark Buehrle and Jose Reyes and Carlos Zambrano. I have listed them below.

  1. Daniel Murphy stays healthy for a full season.
  2. Johan Santana contributes with at least 10 wins.
  3. Mike Pelfrey settles in as a No. 4 or No. 5 pitcher.
  4. Ike Davis proves healthy and pelts 30 homers in the adjusted Citifield.
  5. David Wright gets his game back, and pelts 30 homers in a contract year.
  6. Lucas Duda keeps improving, provides some pop from the No. 5 or 6 spot in the lineup
  7. Jason Bay returns to his old form.

What do you think?

About Michael Ganci

Michael Ganci is the Co-Founder of the Daily Stache, along with Matthew Falkenbury. Since 2008, Ganci has eat, drank and dreamt all things Mets, and he'd have it no other way. Feel free to follow him on Twitter at @DailyStache.

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  1. FL Met Fan Rich

    January 16, 2012 at 12:58 pm

    I think you are dreaming! …Contenders?…..Really?

    We are going to be out of it by mid May!

    We have a lock on the basement and if we should finish in 4th place they should have a parade!

  2. Jerry M

    January 16, 2012 at 7:41 pm

    I think that you are right. I think this team will surprise many pundits. We have a great lineup 1-6, new Bullpen, and our starters need only to go 6 innnings,but more will be helpful to the pen. Real Mets fans hope that you are right, the others as Rich says are koolaid drinkers who are not true fans.

  3. darknova306

    January 16, 2012 at 9:21 pm

    I expect the lineup to score runs, though saying their 1-6 is ‘great’ is a bit of a stretch. Maybe if Ike proves healthy and continues to hit like his early 2011 numbers, Wright turns back the clock to 2007, Bay stops sucking, Torres can post an OPS better than last year’s .643, Murphy can stay consistent and healthy, and Duda can take a step forward, then there’ll be a good case for the lineup being great. I see maybe one or two of those things happening, though.

    The bullpen in 2011 fell completely apart after KRod was traded. While I like this offseason’s additions to an extent, especially Ramirez, I don’t think it’s enough to bring them from horrible to good. Of course it’s hard to predict relievers from year to year, I currently expect them to be an average bullpen overall. We’ll see, hopefully they all have good years.

    In the end, I think this team sinks or swims with its rotation. Currently the rotation looks like a garbage heap to me. Anything the Mets get out of Santana this year will be gravy in my eyes. Dickey has been consistent for two years, I’ll go with the expectation of him being the best pitcher on the team once again. Niese, while I’m a huge fan of his, still has yet to show any consistency and is still prone to the ‘wheels falling off’ inning. Pelfrey gives a lot of innings that are very mediocre, so he already is a number 4/5 pitcher. Gee is another number 5 pitcher, nothing great or awful. So: an old/damaged ace, a seemingly good knuckleballer, an inconsistent/mediocre young lefty, and two mediocre number 5s. That has the look of a last place rotation.

  4. Joe

    January 17, 2012 at 9:44 am

    The other starters, and probably some mystery sixth guy, has to give you something too if you think Santana would give you around 10 and Pelfrey is your new Cappy.

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  6. Billy

    January 21, 2012 at 3:40 pm

    lets see Johan’s highest ERA this past decade is 3.33, Pelfrey pitched well both even years (3.66 and 3/72 ERA’s), Dickey has had ERA’s of 2.84 and 3.28 the past 2 years, along with improvements in growth of Gee and Niese our rotation can be solid 1-5 (with Harvey/Familia as mid season potential call ups)

    Bullpen I think everyone agrees is solid with Rauch, Francisco, Ramirez to end games, Parnell, Acosta for the middle innings and a long man competition (add a lefty if you want a 12 man staff)

    Lineup is our issue, Wright, Davis, Bay, Duda, Murphy can be above average (to varying degrees of faith) players, we are poor behind the plate, average at SS (we were spoiled by Reyes), poor in CF (though Den Dekker or Nieuwenhuis give hope)

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